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Is One Battle After Another the safe pick?

Alan

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Movies and Oscars related now that Grammy's is over.
Paul Thomas Anderson is hands down a really good director. Have you seen his past movies? One Battle After Another has 13 nominations of its own. Academy is rewarding that work. Even though Sinners has more total nods, this movie might be more "Oscar-friendly" for the older voting block, don't you think? I'm really curious who's going to win this year.

Who's your Oscar's bet for best picture, director actor, actress, including supporting roles?
 
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